The first day of winter on Monday will bring us mild and dry weather for the next couple of days. Tonight the low is expected to be around 30 deg and tomorrow temps will climb to near 60. Rain chances will increase on Tuesday and there’s a good chance of rain on Wednesday, including a thunderstorm or two.
Although I’m not ready to call for a white Christmas in Tulsa, I’m seeing the chance for snow on Thursday increasing. The NWS is calling for snow in their latest Hazardous Weather Outlook. Much cooler air is expected to cover the area, bringing chances of accumulating snow. Maybe as much as a couple of inches. Rest assured, I’ll be watching it.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
505 PM CST SUN DEC 20 2009
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE…THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY…NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY…THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY…SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY…WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL…HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY…NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION…
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES…WITH SHOWERS INCREASING ACROSS THE AREA BY LATE TUESDAY. SHOWERS…AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS…WILL BE POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IMPROVES.
MUCH COLDER LOW-LEVEL AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY…AND A CHANGEOVER TO SNOW POSSIBLE BY THIS TIME. SOME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON CHRISTMAS EVE…ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. ANY SNOW SHOULD TAPER OFF THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE SURFACE LOW PULLS AWAY FROM THE AREA.
UNSEASONABLY COLD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF THE STORM SYSTEM FROM CHRISTMAS DAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT…
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ARE URGED TO MONITOR FUTURE FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS REGARDING THE MID WEEK SYSTEM…AS THE TRACK OF THIS STORM SYSTEM REMAINS UNCERTAIN.
NWS Forecast:
- Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 29. Light north northwest wind.
- Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 58. Light wind becoming south southeast between 10 and 13 mph.
- Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. South wind between 8 and 11 mph.
- Tuesday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Cloudy, with a high near 53. South southeast wind between 8 and 11 mph. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
- Tuesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 45. Southeast wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
- Wednesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a high near 55. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
- Wednesday Night: Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 34. Chance of precipitation is 70%.